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Thread: Poissonous Possibilities

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    Soul Reader Zork's Avatar
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    Cool Poissonous Possibilities

    Archangel
    Archie
    atomicpianowitch
    Cron
    Frog
    hardcoreUFO
    Killthestory
    Michael22Omega
    squirtlegun
    Xicor

    In this automated game with d1 starting Tue Oct 31 at 7AM ET with 36-hour days and 12-hour nights, the Mafia will consist of 2 Vigilantes with 24/7 chat but no factional kill.

    The Town will have 1 Emissary (coded in modbot as a "Vanilla Town" but with a manually sent PM containing a randomized n0 Town peek), and the Town will gravitate toward having
    --4 Vanilla Townies and
    --1 each of the following Non-Emissary Power Roles (NEPRs)
    ----Doctor
    ----Jailkeeper
    ----Roleblocker

    At death, there will be a full reveal.

    The three NEPRs will be secretly ordered randomly.

    The first NEPR in the randomized list is assigned a random number from 1 to 10,000. If the number is:
    --1 thru 3679, that role will not be present in the game.
    --3680 thru 7358, there will be 1 of that role.
    --7359 thru 9197, there will be 2 of that role.
    --9198 thru 9810, there will be 3 of that role.
    --9811 thru 9963, there will be 4 of that role.
    --9964 thru 9994, there will be 5 of that role.
    --9995 thru 9999, there will be 6 of that role.
    --10,000, there will be 7 of that role.

    If there are fewer than 7 of the first NEPR, the second NEPR in the randomized list is run thru an RNG just like the first NCPR was, except that second number will be reduced if necessary to keep the total number of first and second NEPRs at 7. And so on until all three NEPRs are randed or there are already 7 NEPRs, whichever is first.

    Please make at least 12 substantive posts daily, including two within the first 24 hours, or be substituted out.

    Quote Originally Posted by Thingyman View Post
    Treat each other with civility even if you are frustrated...Be the reason people come back...have fun and be good to one another...and to yourself!
    The Emissary will receive an additional PM from me before d1 begins to supplement the Vanilla Town PM sent by modbot.

    It is night. Do not post.
    Last edited by Zork; October 30th, 2017 at 11:22 AM.

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    Soul Reader Zork's Avatar
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    Do not hint at or claim character names. If anyone thinks that someone is doing this, bring it to my attention. If an experienced player not participating in the game agrees with me that it constituted hinting at or claiming a character name, there will be negative consequences for the player and compensation for the opposite team.

    The Emissary will be a good character from the movie 101 Dalmatians. The vanilla town player(s), if any, will have (a) random name(s) from among the good characters of that movie.

    It is night. Do not post.
    Last edited by Zork; October 30th, 2017 at 12:12 PM.

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    It is REQUESTED, not required, that you do not make any posts containing solely a vote. Proxy voting is enabled, so that you may vote as part of a substantive post as normal OR via a drop-down menu where Modbot announces your vote so you don't have to post it--whichever works for you.

    It is night. Do not post.

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    Soul Reader Zork's Avatar
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    In attempting to launch the game now so that it starts with night 0 at 7 tonight, I repeatedly receive the following error message:

    Error: Required field: Game preset
    This is despite the fact I had the game time preset for 36/12.

    Therefore I will start the game "immediately" at night 0, and hopefully this other option works. I would then ask the mafia not to chat in their private thread until 7pm. I can't close it because I won't be around to open it at 7pm.

    It is night. Do not post.

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    Even after trying the only alternative option ("immediately"), I continue to get the same error message.

    I am requesting assistance, and if I don't get it while I am home, night 0 may be delayed.

    Modbot is being extremely ornery.

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    Game Information »
    Poissonous Possibilities: Game Information!

    This is an automated game of Mafia.


    Setup - 10 Players

    CLOSED
    • Majority is not in effect.
    • Town wins when all threats to Town have been eliminated.
    • Mafia factions win when they achieve Parity and all other evil factions have been eliminated at any time.
    • Votes can be made by proxy using the form below the thread. Normal voting is still allowed. The modbot will announce the vote and who submitted it in their stead. This feature can be used to facilitate voting while Muted, such as during Duels or other mechanics that do not allow posting.
    • Votes are automatically locked in at LYLO.
    • No Lynching is disabled.
    • Mafia factional kills are disabled. Mafia do not get a factional kill each night.
    • Mafia may communicate at any time.
    • Tied votes will result in a player being lynched at random from among the tied players.

    Phase Lengths

    Days are 36 hours in length. Nights are 12 hours in length.

    Players

    @Archangel
    @Archie
    @atomicpianowitch
    @Cron
    @Frog
    @hardcoreUFO
    @Killthestory
    @Michael22Omega
    @squirtlegun
    @Xicor

    FAQ

    Are you unsure about how actions are processed or how roles interact with each other? Then read more here:

    ORDER OF OPERATIONS

    Night actions are processed in this order:

    Strongman kills
    Roleblocks
    Jails
    Doctors
    Bodyguards
    Kills
    Investigations
    Backups

    When an action was submitted during the night will never matter when the actions are processed.

    ACTION FEEDBACK

    These are the results you will get when you submit certain actions.

    Non-investigative roles when they submit an action (they also receive this if they are roleblocked):

    Your action on Player A was received.
    Investigative roles (Tracker, Cop, etc.) when roleblocked:

    Your action on Player B did not return any results.
    Trackers when tracking a person that didn't visit anyone (or if they targeted a Ninja):

    Player C did not visit anyone.
    Watchers when watching a person that wasn't visited by anyone (or only visited by a Ninja):

    Player D was not visited by anyone.
    Alignment Cop when investigating a town-aligned player (or a Godfather):

    Player E is Town
    Watcher when watching a person that was visited by multiple people:

    Player F was visited by Player G, Player H, Player I
    FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

    How do I submit my action?
    Use the form below the game thread. If your role has a night action, the form will only be visible during night phases. It's not possible to submit actions in advance of the night phase.

    What does it mean if the Mafia Host says that night kills are assigned?
    In games with this setting turned on, the member of the mafia team that made the most recent night kill submission will be the one assigned to the kill, which means that the kill can be blocked if a Town Roleblocker or Town Jailkeeper target the mafia player in question. Similarly, the kill can be tracked and watched by Town Trackers and Town Watchers. If this setting isn't turned on, then it doesn't matter who the last person to submit the mafia kill is, as the kill is unblockable and untrackable in this case.

    Where do I find example role PM's?
    This thread contains example role PM's for all roles currently supported by the Modbot as well as information on the various modifiers. Here you will find the answers to a lot of questions not covered in this FAQ section.

    Which roles can self-target?
    Only Watchers are able to use their ability on themselves at night. This means that Doctors or Jailkeepers aren't able to protect themselves, for example.

    Which roles are not able to target the same players on consecutive nights?
    Doctors, Jailkeepers, and Roleblockers are not allowed to target the same player twice in a row. Everyone else is, including Bodyguards. Note that this non-consecutive restriction still holds true even if one of these three roles were blocked the night before when targeting the person that they're attempting to target again.

    What happens if Jailkeeper A and Jailkeeper B or Roleblocker A and Roleblocker B target each other (and are not targetted by other blockers)?
    In the case of Jailkeepers, they will block and protect each other. In the case of Roleblockers, they also block each other. This means that the two players are trackable to each other that night by Trackers and Watchers. It also means that if one of them is mafia and happens to simultaneously be the one submitting the factional kill that night in a game with assigned kills, then this kill is blocked. This same principle applies to longer loops. I.e. in a A > B > C > D > A loop, everyone is blocked.

    What happens if Jailkeeper A targets Roleblocker B who targets Jailkeeper A?
    Jailkeeper A will be blocked in this scenario. Refer to the order of operations: Roleblocks process before jails.

    What happens if Jailkeeper A targets Roleblocker B who targets Player C?
    As stated above, roleblocks process before jails, so Roleblocker B will successfully block Player C. I.e. Jailkeeper A will fail to block Roleblocker B, but will still protect Roleblocker B.

    What happens if Jailkeeper A targets Jailkeeper B and Jailkeeper B targets Jailkeeper C (who isn't targeting any of the former two)?
    In this case, Jailkeeper A would prevent Jailkeeper B's block from occuring, meaning that Jailkeeper C's action is not blocked.

    If an X-Shot role is blocked while using a shot, do they lose that shot forever?
    Yes. A 1-shot Vigilante being blocked while attempting to kill someone will not have their shot refunded.

    If someone with a Strongman modifier kills Player A who is protected by Bodyguard B, who dies?
    Player A will die, and Bodyguard B will survive.

    Can a mafia team choose not to kill anyone during a night?
    The host can determine this using the Mafia Factional Kill setting. Kills can be mandatory, optional, or disabled altogether.

    The default is No. The mafia factional kill is compulsory. This is done in order to avoid deadlocked games where the town keeps no lynching and the mafia refuses to submit a kill. If the game has assigned kills, it will be randomized which member of the team is carrying out the kill.

    If there is only one mafia member left in a game without assigned kills, can the mafia factional kill then be blocked and/or tracked?
    No.

    Can the mafia submit a kill for one of their own members?
    No.

    If I kill someone, does their night action, if they have one, still succeed?
    Yes, killing someone doesn't prevent them from performing their night action (unless they investigated someone, in which case they will not receive a report). Refer to the order of operations: All kills happen at the end of the night, and everyone pulls the trigger simultaneously.

    Can individual night actions be proxied on mafia teams?
    No. If the mafia team has a Mafia Roleblocker, for example, and they want to use this role's action, then the player occupying that slot must submit the action themselves.

    If a Lover is shot during the night, while the other Lover is protected that night, does the other Lover still die?
    Yes. It's not possible to prevent a Lover from dying of love sickness.

    If a Bodyguard protects Lover A, while Lover B is shot during that same night, what happens?
    A dies of love sickness and Bodyguard lives.

    If there are any Innocent Childs in the game, are these confirmed in the thread right when the game begins?
    No. Innocent Childs are able to decide themselves when or if they wish to have the Modbot confirm their role and alignment in the thread. Note that this is exclusively a day action and that it can take up to one minute for the Modbot to process the action.

    What results are Alignment Cops, Full Cops and Role Cops given if they investigate a Godfather or a Miller?
    Alignment Cops are told "Town" for Godfathers and "Mafia" for Millers. Full Cops are told "Vanilla Town" for Godfathers and "Mafia Goon" for Millers. Role Cops are told "Godfather" for Godfathers and "Miller" for Millers.

    Can Role Cops tell the difference between a Vanilla Town and Mafia Goon?
    No. They are told "Vanilla" when investigating either of these two roles.

    If I roleblock someone with a Bulletproof Vest, will that nullify the effect of the vest?
    No. Bulletproof Vests are passive modifiers that cannot be blocked from working.

    If I roleblock Masons, Neighbors or Lovers with out of thread communication privileges, can I prevent them from talking at night?
    No.

    If I roleblock a Godfather, will they still be revealed as being town-aligned to Alignment Cops and Full Cops that night?
    Yes.

    USING THE SOFTWARE

    Are you wondering about how to vote, submit night actions or multi-isolate players? Read about this and more here:

    VOTING BBCODES

    Our forum votes for someone by using the vote tags: [V]Thingyman[/V]. Preview:

    ##Vote Thingyman

    Make sure that you spell out the full, correct name. Abbreviations or misspelled names will not be registered by the Modbot.

    To unvote, use the tags: [UNV][/UNV] . When unvoting you do not need to enter the name of the person that you are unvoting. Preview:

    ##Unvote

    VOTING BUTTONS

    You can also quickly vote for someone by clicking on the box with a checkmark icon, which will bring up an alphabetized dropdown containing the names of living players:



    This will insert [V][/V] tags with the name of the player you selected in the dropdown, perfect every time.

    Click the empty checkbox button to insert [UNV][/UNV].

    SUBMITTING NIGHT ACTIONS

    If you have a night action, simply submit this at night by scrolling to the bottom of the game thread. Here you will find a night action form like this:



    Click the dropdown and select the player whom you wish to use your night action on. You can change it as many times as you wish before the deadline expires.

    CALLING UP A VOTECOUNT

    Votecounts will appear automatically at various intervals, but you can also call up votecounts yourself by following these steps:

    First, you need to apply to join "Mafia Game Hosts" under Permission Groups.

    Second, once your request has been approved, you will be able to call up votecounts by simply pushing the "Post Votecount" button in the top right corner of any game thread that you'd like an updated votecount for.


    VIEWING VOTE HISTORY

    There are three ways to access the vote history for any game.

    1. Click on the "Vote History" button in the top right corner of the game thread:

    2. Click on the "View Vote History" link, which accompanies all votecounts:

    3. Click on Modbot in the top forum menu. This will give you a list of ongoing and completed games:



      Next, simply click on "Vote History" to view all votes for that game.

    Following any of the above three steps will bring you to an overview like this one:



    Click on a Voter's username to view all of the votes by their slot.

    Click on a Target's username to view all of the votes for their slot.

    ISOLATING A PLAYER'S POSTS

    If you wish to read a player's posts in isolation, simply click on "ISO" in the top right corner of one of that player's posts in the relevant thread as illustrated here:



    Alternatively, you can access a player's posts in isolation by clicking on the number next to "Replies:" in the forum lobby.



    Doing so will pull up a window listing the post counts for everyone who has posted in that thread. You access someone's posts in isolation by simply clicking on the number next to "Posts:" for that person.



    The ISO view itself has Quote and Multi-Quote buttons inside it, which will make it very easy to quickly quote a lot of a player's posts for analysis or commentary:


    MULTI-ISOLATING

    If you wish to read not just one player's posts, but you want to ISO multiple players, then click the "Multi ISO" button to the left of "Game Tools" and select the players in question as shown here:


    MULTI-QUOTING WHILE THREAD IS LOCKED

    Note that you can multi-quote posts from even locked game threads. This is useful for when you wish to reread the game and do work during night phases.

    After quoting the relevant posts, you simply open a different, opened thread and press "Go Advanced". Then add the quotes to your post by clicking the prompt below the post area as shown here:



    Now, of course you can't post your work in the game thread while the thread is locked, but you can copy paste and save your work to a local file or the cloud and have it ready to post the very next day phase (if you're still alive, that is).

    BOOKMARKS

    Whenever you open a game thread, you are able to bookmark posts. This is for many players an important tool for keeping track of and remembering vital pieces of information, reads, claims etc.

    Also, note that these bookmarks are saved to your user account, meaning that it eliminates the trouble associated with keeping notes between different computers/devices.

    If you want to bookmark a post, you simply scroll to the post that you want to bookmark and press "Set Bookmark" as shown here:



    This will call up 5 different colored icons (Blue, Red, Yellow, Green, and Black) on the right side of the post in question. You can click any of these icons, which will then prompt you to include a note for the post.

    If you don't want to include a note, you don't have to - just leave it blank. The color coding in itself can be a valuable tool. Maybe you want to use Red bookmarks for posts that you find suspicious, Green bookmarks for posts that you find townie, Black bookmarks for posts containing claims, or whatever system you can think of that will be helpful to you.



    Once this is done, you have now successfully bookmarked a post with a certain color and maybe even a note. If you wish to remove the bookmark again, click on "Unset Bookmark".

    How do I access bookmarks?

    There are two ways to access your bookmarks.
    1. Inside a game thread, you can access the bookmarks for that specific game by simply right clicking on the "Bookmark" button and opening the link.

      This will bring you to a separate page that is automatically filtered to only show bookmarks from the game thread that you accessed the page from.
    2. You can also access your bookmarks by going to Features in the site's top menu:



      This will bring you to a page where no bookmarks are shown by default. However, you have several filtering options.

      You can filter by Game, by Player and by Color - and all of them at once if you so wish.

      Here's an example of filtering by only red bookmarks in one specific game:



    If you want to be taken directly to one of your bookmarked posts, you just click the post number.

    How do I quote bookmarks?

    You can also multi-quote bookmarked posts by clicking the little "+" button seen above on the far right side of each bookmark.

    Once you have multi-quoted all the bookmarked posts that you want to quote, you will then have to go to the game thread in which you wish to quote the bookmarked posts.

    Here you have two ways of quoting the posts.

    1. Click on "Reply With Quote" on another post as shown here:



      You will then probably want to delete the last post quoted in the reply box, but otherwise you should be good to go.
    2. Or you can do the more smooth option and click the "Reply To Thread" button at the top and bottom of the game thread - as shown here:



      By doing this you will open up a reply box containing only your multi-quoted bookmarked posts.

  7. Bookmark ISO #7
    Automatic Game Mod Mafia Host's Avatar
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    « Night 0 Start »
    Poissonous Possibilities Night 0 Start

    Night 0 has begun.

    Night 0 ends at 7:00 AM EDT on Tuesday, October 31st, 2017. There are 1509447660000 remaining.

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    Automatic Game Mod Mafia Host's Avatar
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    Poissonous Possibilities Day 1 Votecount

    Votes Target Voters (Posts in Phase)
    10 Not voting Killthestory (0), Michael22Omega (0), squirtlegun (0), Xicor (0), hardcoreUFO (0), Frog (0), Archie (0), atomicpianowitch (0), Cron (0), Archangel (0)


    View Vote History

    Day 1 ends at 7:00 PM EDT on Wednesday, November 1st, 2017. There are 1509577260000 remaining.

    Posted at 1 days, 12 hours, 16 minutes, 59 seconds remaining.

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    Soul Reader Zork's Avatar
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    @Archangel
    @Archie
    @atomicpianowitch
    @Cron
    @Frog
    @hardcoreUFO
    @Killthestory
    @Michael22Omega
    @squirtlegun
    @Xicor

    Welcome to the game, everybody!

    It is Day 1 in this sleepy little village!

    You may post!

    Do it for the puppies!

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    Soul Reader Archangel's Avatar
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    The Straight Dope
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    First!

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    GOAT Tier Cron's Avatar
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    I'm town, I swear. We got this.

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    GOAT Tier Cron's Avatar
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    I feel like jailkeeper is the best role in this setup for maximum vig protection. We're never gonna be able to piece together what exactly happened at night until like... f5 so all that matters is minimal night kp hailkeeper does that. Food for thought

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    Guide for prs on who to target tonight


    Doctor: townie ppl / Cron

    Jailkeeper: strong players that you don't have townreads on

    RB: scummy ppl

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    Quote Originally Posted by Cron (#11)
    I'm town, I swear. We got this.
    sup

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    Emissary should hard claim
    We get two conf town
    We lynch one of the unconfirmed than roleblockers target them
    50% to only have 1 kp tonight

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    And cron no I don't believe you btw but we'll see

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    Vote by Proxy

    Quote Originally Posted by Michael22Omega
    ##Vote atomicpianowitch

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    Automatic Game Mod Mafia Host's Avatar
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    Poissonous Possibilities Day 1 Votecount

    Votes Target Voters (Posts in Phase)
    1 atomicpianowitch Michael22Omega (3)
    9 Not voting Killthestory (0), squirtlegun (0), Xicor (0), hardcoreUFO (0), Frog (0), Archie (0), atomicpianowitch (0), Cron (3), Archangel (1)


    View Vote History

    Day 1 ends at 7:00 PM EDT on Wednesday, November 1st, 2017. There are 1509577260000 remaining.

    Requested by Michael22Omega at 1 days, 11 hours, 3 minutes, 0 seconds remaining.

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    ##Vote Killthestory

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    Poissonous Possibilities Day 1 Votecount

    Votes Target Voters (Posts in Phase)
    1 Killthestory Michael22Omega (4)
    9 Not voting Killthestory (0), squirtlegun (0), Xicor (0), hardcoreUFO (0), Frog (0), Archie (0), atomicpianowitch (0), Cron (3), Archangel (1)


    View Vote History

    Day 1 ends at 7:00 PM EDT on Wednesday, November 1st, 2017. There are 1509577260000 remaining.

    Requested by Michael22Omega at 1 days, 11 hours, 2 minutes, 40 seconds remaining.

  21. Bookmark ISO #21
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    nice so both options work

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    I'm obviously always voting by posts to increase post count
    Unless phone posting at eod or something idk

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    ##Vote Cron
    Ummmmmmmmm

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    Okay when people do vote count analyze please remember my first two votes were test

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    1. Michael22Omega
    2.
    3.
    4.
    5.Archangel
    6.
    7.
    8.
    9. Cron
    10.

    Let's keep track of this

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    2%3 reversed for Emissary/their peek
    4 will be strong town read
    Than 6 will be other town read that I can see being wrong on, so Archa will stay at 5

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    Can I post a full page
    Na

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    Quote Originally Posted by Michael22Omega (#15)
    Emissary should hard claim
    We get two conf town
    We lynch one of the unconfirmed than roleblockers target them
    50% to only have 1 kp tonight
    i dont hate this. let me think on it.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Michael22Omega (#16)
    And cron no I don't believe you btw but we'll see
    why would i lie to you?

  30. Bookmark ISO #30
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    Quote Originally Posted by Michael22Omega (#25)
    1. Michael22Omega
    2.
    3.
    4.
    5.Archangel
    6.
    7.
    8.
    9. Cron
    10.

    Let's keep track of this
    bull$#@! archangel a 5 with a "first" post lol

  31. Bookmark ISO #31
    GOAT Tier Cron's Avatar
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    i dont really see a downside to emissary claiming. no anti-claim, reduces POE pretty well on d1.

    i am NOT the emissary. hard claim

  32. Bookmark ISO #32
    GOAT Tier Cron's Avatar
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    maybe im wrong but its very likely we dont have a lot of PRs

    ~5% chance 0 PRs
    ~5% only have 1 doctor
    ~5% only have 1 jailkeeper
    ~5% only have 1 RBer

  33. Bookmark ISO #33
    Pocketing You Xicor's Avatar
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    oh $#@! this started, im too involved in my mash

  34. Bookmark ISO #34
    Pocketing You Xicor's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cron (#31)
    i dont really see a downside to emissary claiming. no anti-claim, reduces POE pretty well on d1.

    i am NOT the emissary. hard claim
    i am not the emissary either

  35. Bookmark ISO #35
    GOAT Tier Cron's Avatar
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    lol just playing around with the math, its funny.

    so having 0 PRs is the same likelihood of having 1 of each PR, which is also the most likely outcome.


    D J R
    0 0 0 4.980%
    1 0 0 4.980%
    0 1 0 4.980%
    0 0 1 4.980%
    1 1 0 4.980%
    1 0 1 4.980%
    0 1 1 4.980%
    1 1 1 4.980%

    Roughly 40% chance of one of the above.

    Then we get into have one role that we have two of.

    D J R
    2 0 0 2.489%
    0 2 0 2.489%
    0 0 2 2.489%
    2 1 0 2.489%
    1 2 0 2.489%
    1 0 2 2.489%
    2 0 1 2.489%
    0 1 2 2.489%
    0 2 1 2.489%
    2 1 1 2.489%
    1 2 1 2.489%
    1 1 2 2.489%

    All those added up roughly 30% likely

    so we're already at 70% likely that one of the above setups are our setup. Then next likely is have 2 roles that have 2

    D J R
    2 2 0 1.244%
    2 0 2 1.244%
    0 2 2 1.244%
    1 2 2 1.244%
    2 1 2 1.244%
    2 2 1 1.244%

    Roughly 7.5%, total is at 77.171% that we are in one of the above. Next likely would be a role in the game 3 times BUT the other roles are at 1 or 0.

    D J R
    3 0 0 0.830%
    0 3 0 0.830%
    0 0 3 0.830%
    1 0 3 0.830%
    1 3 0 0.830%
    3 1 0 0.830%
    3 0 1 0.830%
    0 3 1 0.830%
    0 1 3 0.830%
    3 1 1 0.830%
    1 3 1 0.830%
    1 1 3 0.830%

    this totals roughly 10%, so it's more likely there's a role 3 times than 2 roles twice, but more options.

    I'll just stop

    Tl;dr:

    0 PR = 4.980%
    1 PR = 14.939%
    2 PR = 22.406%
    3 PR = 22.403%
    4 PR = 16.178%
    5 PR = 8.710%

    so we're prolly at 2 or 3 total PRs

  36. Bookmark ISO #36
    Pocketing You Xicor's Avatar
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    whats the vote by proxy thing

  37. Bookmark ISO #37
    GOAT Tier Cron's Avatar
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  38. Bookmark ISO #38
    Automatic Game Mod Mafia Host's Avatar
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    Poissonous Possibilities Day 1 Votecount

    Votes Target Voters (Posts in Phase)
    1 Cron Michael22Omega (11)
    9 Not voting Killthestory (0), squirtlegun (0), Xicor (3), hardcoreUFO (0), Frog (0), Archie (0), atomicpianowitch (0), Cron (10), Archangel (1)


    View Vote History

    Day 1 ends at 7:00 PM EDT on Wednesday, November 1st, 2017. There are 1509577260000 remaining.

    Posted at 1 days, 9 hours, 1 minutes, 59 seconds remaining.

  39. Bookmark ISO #39
    GOAT Tier Cron's Avatar
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    fun stuff

    Was thinking more

    0 PR = 4.980%
    1 PR = 14.939%
    2 PR = 22.406%
    3 PR = 22.403%
    4 PR = 16.178%
    5 PR = 8.710%
    6 PR = 4.4176%

    caps out at 7 PRs with emissary so this setup actually has 1-(sum of all other probability) = 1-.9403 = 5.97% chance of 7 PRs. lulz

  40. Bookmark ISO #40
    Thread Analyst atomicpianowitch's Avatar
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    oh hello
    not emissary

  41. Bookmark ISO #41
    GOAT Tier Cron's Avatar
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    if we lose, i quit. pretty town sided.

  42. Bookmark ISO #42
    GOAT Tier Cron's Avatar
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    @Archangel
    @Archie
    @Cron
    @Frog
    @hardcoreUFO
    @Killthestory
    @Michael22Omega
    @squirtlegun

    we're claiming emissary today, you dont need to instantly reveal the n0 town (in fact prolly better to wait for that information. You can feel free to claim now or wait til close to EOD. BUT 100% CLAIM TODAY AND BY EOD CLAIM THE N0

    Not Emissary:
    Cron
    Xicor
    atomicpianowatch

  43. Bookmark ISO #43
    Soul Reader Archangel's Avatar
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    Thank you for the tag, I posted first thing AM and then forgot about the game. I am not emissary.

  44. Bookmark ISO #44
    GOAT Tier Cron's Avatar
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    0 VTs 1 VTs 2 VTs 3 VTs 4 VTs 5 VTs 6 VTs 7 VTs
    0 4.98% 5.2960% 5.5570% 6.1553% 7.6937% 11.7661% 25.0013% 100.00%
    1 14.94% 15.8869% 16.6700% 18.4646% 23.0797% 35.2959% 74.9987%
    2 22.41% 23.8277% 25.0022% 27.6939% 34.6156% 52.9380%
    3 22.40% 23.8245% 24.9989% 27.6902% 34.6110%
    4 16.18% 17.2045% 18.0526% 19.9960%
    5 8.71% 9.2626% 9.7192%
    6 4.42% 4.6979%
    7 5.97%
    100.00% 94.03% 89.62% 80.91% 64.73% 42.33% 19.92% 4.98%


    #mathz

    If you know how many VTs are revealed, you can determine probability of PR #

  45. Bookmark ISO #45
    Automatic Game Mod Mafia Host's Avatar
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    Poissonous Possibilities Day 1 Votecount

    Votes Target Voters (Posts in Phase)
    1 Cron Michael22Omega (11)
    9 Not voting Killthestory (0), squirtlegun (0), Xicor (3), hardcoreUFO (0), Frog (0), Archie (0), atomicpianowitch (1), Cron (14), Archangel (2)


    View Vote History

    Day 1 ends at 7:00 PM EDT on Wednesday, November 1st, 2017. There are 1509577260000 remaining.

    Posted at 1 days, 7 hours, 1 minutes, 59 seconds remaining.

  46. Bookmark ISO #46
    JAMES MCCLOWN Frog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cron (#11)
    I'm town, I swear. We got this.
    ##Vote cron

    That was easy

  47. Bookmark ISO #47
    JAMES MCCLOWN Frog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mafia Host (#45)
    Poissonous Possibilities Day 1 Votecount

    Votes Target Voters (Posts in Phase)
    1 Cron Michael22Omega (11)
    9 Not voting Killthestory (0), squirtlegun (0), Xicor (3), hardcoreUFO (0), Frog (0), Archie (0), atomicpianowitch (1), Cron (14), Archangel (2)


    View Vote History

    Day 1 ends at 7:00 PM EDT on Wednesday, November 1st, 2017. There are 1509577260000 remaining.

    Posted at 1 days, 7 hours, 1 minutes, 59 seconds remaining.
    Mike's village.

    Easy times.

    I'm suffering from hangoveritis at the moment but I'll be much more active later tonight. Also multitabling.

  48. Bookmark ISO #48
    Bandwagoner
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    Hi. Just checking in. Reading the thread now. Hold please, caller.

  49. Bookmark ISO #49
    GOAT Tier Cron's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Frog (#47)
    Quote Originally Posted by Mafia Host (#45)
    Poissonous Possibilities Day 1 Votecount

    Votes Target Voters (Posts in Phase)
    1 Cron Michael22Omega (11)
    9 Not voting Killthestory (0), squirtlegun (0), Xicor (3), hardcoreUFO (0), Frog (0), Archie (0), atomicpianowitch (1), Cron (14), Archangel (2)


    View Vote History

    Day 1 ends at 7:00 PM EDT on Wednesday, November 1st, 2017. There are 1509577260000 remaining.

    Posted at 1 days, 7 hours, 1 minutes, 59 seconds remaining.
    Mike's village.

    Easy times.

    I'm suffering from hangoveritis at the moment but I'll be much more active later tonight. Also multitabling.
    bull$#@!

    ##Vote Frog

  50. Bookmark ISO #50
    GOAT Tier Cron's Avatar
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    appreciate the michael town spew though

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