Type: Posts; User: bopolis
if wg is a wolf, 4mask isnt the lynch we need to win
dont want to do 4mask
1 between 4mask/boq imo
1 in billy/cron/tom/yog/sunbae tom the wolfies in that grouping but if wg=wolf i think he's less likely to be with him based on wg eod yesterday and him saying no to a cfd
1 between 4mask/boq because i thought 4mask's popin vote on boq was wolfy yesterday and it made him lead wagon over thingy who is likely just a wolf
think smith/owner are just villas always
where im at
wg pushing 4mask gives me pause
Out for a bit,
Is there any reason thingy can’t be kp?
Briefly I contemplated sunbae is a wolf going for the win by controlling the thread, then I realized that doesn’t work with post caps and 5 game days and THEN I realized the gamestate is such that wolves probably don’t need to do much at this point.
M6 pony is the slowest.
Owners end of day makes me think she’s a villa(staying on thingy and not going to panther
Also assum8ng thingy being a wolf
I think it’s thingy/ss/jan/4mask + 1 or 2 between thingy voters(minus smith) and boq
Sunbae, what made you think thingy was a villa towards the end o& last phase, iirc you said it was based on something I said
If Sunbae is indeed a villager, and you assume wolves wanted to get a villa counterwagon to visor, then frog voting sunbae instead of boquise is a pretty bad look for boquise. Since if Boquise was a villager frog voting him would have tied the wagons. Yet he voted sunbae.
my thought on thingy not caring might be more wishful thinking instead of fact, especially if what sunbae says is true(re: him not caring before as wolf).
i definitely think the wolfteam lies within you/jan/ss/wg/smith/4mask/tom/cron/billy
I think billy is the towniest followed by cron(though he's my secret tinfoil). I don't even think they are wolves, they are just the people I villa read that i'd start re-evaluating on first. I would probably kill thingy/owner before billy and cron(maybe)
If there is a scum on from its most likely in tom/4mask but probably not both, i dont want to lynch a frog voter today(unless somehow boq/jan/SS can clear themselves then i'd think about it)
That leaves you/jan/ss/wg/smith as my current POE and I feel most strongly about you/ss/jan.
Sure i could just be wrong on sunbae/owner/thingy, im most confident in being right on sunbae but its possible.
so lets take out billy/cron for now and put in owner/thingy.
boq/jan/ss/wg/smith/one of tom-4mask/owner/thingy
Talk to me about whats wrong with this?
who outside of this do you think could be a wolf?
also, i say one of 4mask/tom because i don't think they are both wolves jumping on frog for cred since it looked like there was a shot frog got lynched over phighter, but maybe im misremembering what i read so lets just keep them both pencilled in there.
im out for a while,
@ me with questions/concerns
dont worry cron, you can get me killed on sunday when the posting restriction lifts and i wont be around.
maybe your not a villa and just trying to push me as a mislynch and not a dumdum.
apologies if thats the case
I rescind my peeks. I was taking one last chance to eat a dayvig.
I still think my peeks are all villas. Sunbae was villagy upon subbing in and I don't think the way he pushed phighter is a wolf going for a mislynch unless it was going for the immeadiate win because he basically left himself no room to be wrong.
Thingy I listed as a villager because I think he cares more about the game if hes a wolf. He brags non stop about how he defeated 20 something villas as the last wolf and I don't think he'd phone in a wolf game because he wants to be able to protect that legacy and this game he's clearly phoning it in. I think him not caring much is probably villa thingy.
Owner I have as a villa because I just think the way she is disconnected from $#@! in the thread is TWTBAW. I think a wolf would make it so their thought processes are easier to track and the fact that some of her pushes read like "1+2=apricots" make it likely shes just a villa.
I went for the 'no result' peek hoping there was a chance even if wolves didnt RB me they could still think a villager could have.
I still believe we should lynch Boq because he's been the scummiest so far. I thought his post expecting to be red checked was wolfy, I think his reaction of wolves pushing him when most the people on him were frog voters/roman (ie mostly if not all villas) is terrible and not a real thought. I think between the eod 1 and day 2(might be eod 2 and day 3 will recheck later) he listed a bunch of people as wolves who 1)ended up flipping villager and 2) he never really mentioned again so I think they were fake reads. I don't know about him being a vig but certainly he's the best chance to lynch a wolf.
If not boq then SS, or Jan. I thought some of the stuff coming from Jan was villagy but I also think if he was a villager he wouldnt have flipped back on his phighter read.
coming back to my peeks still being good, when i saw i didnt eat the dayvig immeadiately i thought I was wrong somewhere then I thought about it and if I was wrong and listed a wolves as villas, they probably just gank me anyways to give them villa cred. I think its more likely I was rolecopped or roleblocked and they just knew I wasnt a cop than I was wrong but I don't think im gonna bet my life on it thus im just rescinding.
if i die before i come back I think most likely wolves are in boq/SS/jan
i think we live in a world where we need to lynch exactly wolf killpower OR lynch a wolf before the dayvig goes off(but even in that world we have to still probably kill the vigs)
boq is not a peek, just someone i find wolfy
if i had a peek last night i targetted jan and got no result
When/why did phighter stop being villagy to you?
because sections were not in any particular order.
Since panther started caring about the game on day 3(iirc) i think he's been villagy.
As for smith I dropped him down into the POE section because I don't remember why I had him higher than that and if/when he does something villagy i'd move him back up.